Exit Poll 2024: Before the results of the Lok Sabha elections, PM Modi is seen scoring a hat-trick for the third time in the exit polls. In one poll, NDA is reaching beyond 400. In the poll of polls of 13 exit polls, NDA is estimated to get 365 seats and India 145 seats. Others can get 32 ​​seats. This time BJP can cross the figure of 303 seats it got in 2019.
Almost all the exit polls that came before the results of the Lok Sabha elections have ‘guaranteed’ the return of the Modi government. The exit polls have predicted that the BJP alliance i.e. NDA will get 353 to 415 seats. According to the exit polls, even after 10 years, the massive wave of PM Modi is still there. Riding on his wave, the NDA will certainly cross its 2019 figure of 350. In this way, Modi will equal Nehru’s record with a hat-trick.
BJP is predicted to have a one-sided lead in the Hindi belt states of Uttar Pradesh, Rajasthan, Madhya Pradesh, Chhattisgarh and Delhi. BJP is expected to win more than 90% of the seats in these states. BJP is predicted to win 28 to 29 out of 29 seats in MP and 23 to 25 seats out of 25 seats in Rajasthan.
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According to the poll, NDA may lose 29 seats in Bihar, Jharkhand, Rajasthan and Maharashtra. There seems to be an upset in Bengal. Here BJP is expected to get 26 to 31 seats out of the total 42 seats. BJP can double its seats in Odisha and Telangana.
According to the NDTV Poll of Polls, the gist of the exit polls, the NDA can reach 365 seats. The gist of these election predictions is that the BJP will move forward strongly in the east and south. In Bengal, the saffron colour is expected to become even stronger. The BJP can get 19 to 31 seats here. However, in the north, it seems to be suffering a slight loss compared to 2019. It has been estimated that the saffron colour will decrease slightly in Delhi, Rajasthan, Haryana, Bihar.
The exit polls have also confirmed the claims of PM Modi and Amit Shah during the elections that BJP will grow strongly in the east and south. According to the polls, BJP will make up for the shortcomings of Gujarat, Rajasthan, Delhi, Madhya Pradesh, Karnataka from the east and south. In Andhra, the picture of BJP’s friendship with Chandrababu Naidu and Pawan Kalyan seems to be a superhit. If these poll surveys prove to be correct, then BJP, TDP and Jana Sena together will do a clean sweep in Andhra.
But there is one state where the contest is the most fierce. The biggest suspense will remain here on 4 June. This state is Maharashtra. The contest is very close between the BJP-Shinde duo and the Uddhav faction. The NDA, which won 41 out of 48 seats in 2019, may lose half of its seats. According to polls, this time the NDA seems to be swinging between 22 and 38. Â
The end of Dravidian politics in Tamil Nadu?
If the exit polls turn out to be correct, it will be interesting to see whether the days of Dravidian politics are about to end in Tamil Nadu. Chanakya’s exit poll has predicted that BJP will get a maximum of 14 seats here. If BJP, which has the image of a party of Hindi speaking states, manages to get even 8-10 seats in Tamil Nadu, it will be included in the historical pages of the party. And the party’s image of an all-India party will be truly fulfilled. This will also raise questions on the existence of Dravidian politics that has been going on since 1950. If anyone is truly deserving of this victory, it will be their state president Annamalai, who prepared the ground for the party by taking out padayatras and on the basis of ground issues. He himself is also in the electoral fray from Coimbatore. However, the exit poll of India Today-Axis My India has predicted that he will lose the election to DAK candidate P Ganapathi Rajkumar.
Well, how accurate these exit poll results will prove to be will be known only on June 4. Know how many seats have been predicted for BJP in which state in all the exit polls.
Now read the state wise seat estimates…
BJP can double its seats in Odisha, Telangana, clean sweep in 8 states
According to the exit poll, NDA can win all the seats in 8 states including Gujarat, MP, Chhattisgarh, Himachal, Delhi, Uttarakhand. At the same time, it can repeat its previous performance in big states like Karnataka, UP. On the other hand, NDA seems to be getting stronger in Maharashtra, Bihar, Jharkhand, Rajasthan and Haryana. BJP can double its seats in Odisha, Telangana.
UP Exit Poll: BJP will go ahead in UP from 2019
UP (80 seats) | BJP+ | I.N.D.I.A | Other |
Axis-India Today | 64-67 | 8-12 | 0-1 |
CVoter-ABP | 62-66 | 5-17 | – |
ETG-Times Now | 69 | 11 | 0 |
Matriz-Republic India | 69-74 | 6-11 | 0 |
Chanakya-News 24 | 61-75 | 6-18 | 0 |
Bihar Exit Poll News: NDA’s seats will decrease in Bihar
Bihar (40 seats) | BJP+ | I.N.D.I.A | Other |
Axis-India Today | 29-33 | 7-10 | 0-2 |
CVoter-ABP | 34-38 | 3-5 | – |
ETG-Times Now | 31 | 8 | 1 |
Matriz-Republic India | 32-37 | 2-7 | 0-1 |
Chanakya-News 24 | 32-40 | 0-8 | 0-1 |
Exit Poll 2024 West Bengal: BJP will give a shock to Mamata in Bengal
West Bengal (42 seats) | BJP+ | I.N.D.I.A | Other |
Axis-India Today | 26-31 | 11-14 | 0-2 |
CVoter-ABP | 23-27 | 13-17 | 1-3 |
ETG-Times Now | 21 | 20 | 1 |
Matriz-Republic India | 21-25 | 16-20 | 0-1 |
Chanakya-News 24 | 19-29 | 12-22 | 0-2 |
EXIT POLL OF MAHARASHTRA
Maharashtra (48 seats) | BJP+ | I.N.D.I.A | Other |
Axis-India Today | 28-32 | 16-20 | 0-2 |
CVoter-ABP | 22-26 | 23-25 | – |
ETG-Times Now | 26 | 22 | 0 |
Matriz-Republic India | 30-36 | 13-19 | 0 |
Chanakya-News 24 | 28-38 | 10-20 | 0 |
BJP is surprising in Tamil Nadu
Tamil Nadu (39 seats) | BJP+ | I.N.D.I.A | Other |
Axis-India Today | 2-4 | 33-37 | 0-2 |
CVoter-ABP | 0-2 | 37-39 | – |
ETG-Times Now | 3 | 34 | 2 |
Matriz-Republic India | 0-3 | 35-38 | 0-1 |
Chanakya-News 24 | 6-14 | 24-33 | 0-2 |
Karnataka EXIT POLL
Karnataka (28 seats) | BJP+ | I.N.D.I.A | Other |
Axis-India Today | 23-25 | 3-5 | – |
CVoter-ABP | 23-25 | 3-5 | – |
ETG-Times Now | 23 | 5 | 0 |
Matriz-Republic India | 19-23 | 5-8 | 0 |
Chanakya-News 24 | 20-28 | 0-8 | 0 |
Gujarat EXIT POLL
Gujarat (26 seats) | BJP+ | I.N.D.I.A | Other |
Axis-India Today | 25-26 | 0-1 | 0 |
CVoter-ABP | 25-26 | 0-1 | 0 |
ETG-Times Now | 26 | 0 | 0 |
Matriz-Republic India | 24-26 | 0-2 | 0 |
Chanakya-News 24 | 24-26 | 0-2 | 0 |
EXIT POLL: BJP suffers loss in Rajasthan
Rajasthan (25 seats) | BJP+ | I.N.D.I.A | Other |
Axis-India Today | 16-19 | 5-7 | 1-2 |
CVoter-ABP | 21-23 | 2-4 | – |
ETG-Times Now | 18 | 7 | 0 |
Matriz-Republic India | 22-24 | 0-3 | 0-1 |
Chanakya-News 24 | 19-25 | 0-4 | 0-2 |
TDP-BJP-Janasena wave in Andhra
Andhra Pradesh (25 seats) | BJP+ | I.N.D.I.A | Other |
Axis-India Today | 21-23 | 0 | 2-4 |
CVoter-ABP | 21-25 | 0 | 0-4 |
ETG-Times Now | 11 | 0 | 14 |
Matriz-Republic India | 19-22 | 0 | 3-6 |
Chanakya-News 24 | 19-25 | 0 | 0-6 |
Odisha EXIT POLL
Odisha (21 seats) | BJP+ | I.N.D.I.A | Other |
Axis-India Today | 18-20 | 0-1 | 0-2 |
CVoter-ABP | 17-19 | 0-2 | 1-3 |
ETG-Times Now | 13 | 0 | 8 |
Matriz-Republic India | 9-12 | 0-1 | 7-10 |
Chanakya-News 24 | 13-19 | 2-6 | 0-2 |
KERALA EXIT POLL
Kerala (20 seats) | BJP+ | I.N.D.I.A | Other |
Axis-India Today | 2-3 | 17-19 | 0 |
CVoter-ABP | 1-3 | 17-19 | 0 |
ETG-Times Now | 1 | 19 | 0 |
Matriz-Republic India | 0-1 | 16-20 | 0 |
Chanakya-News 24 | 1-7 | 12-19 | 0 |
Dadra-Nagar Haveli, Daman-Diu, Chandigarh, Puducherry, Andaman-Nicobar, Lakshadweep
In the survey of India Today-Axis My India, NDA i.e. BJP is getting seats in both the union territories. In Dadra Nagar Haveli, an independent candidate had won in 2019. In Daman Diu, BJP had won in 2019.
In the exit polls of Chandigarh, two surveys are giving different predictions. In one, BJP candidate is seen getting a lead and in the other, Congress candidate is seen getting a lead. In 2019, BJP had won here. This time BJP seems to be getting an advantage in the only Lok Sabha seat of Puducherry. In Puducherry, Congress candidate had won from here in 2019.
According to the exit polls of 5 survey agencies in Andaman-Nicobar, NDA is getting 1 seat, Congress and others are not getting any seat. Congress had won in Andaman in 2019. Congress seems to be getting an edge in the exit polls of Lakshadweep. NCP had won here in 2019.